Archive for the ‘Scenario Planning’ Category
Thursday, February 16th, 2017
What is a scenario?
A scenario describes a future business environment, but is not a prediction.
Scenario planning considers combinations of uncertainties in each scenario. SP can benefit from computer simulations but is less formalized.
Scenarios are used to stimulate new ideas. They form the basis of a strategic debate which is radically ...
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Monday, June 16th, 2008
Search the web for scenarios. Choose one.
Read a case study/example of a scenario.
Read the list of trends published by McKinsey.
Analyse how these trends might be able to affect a given business - e.g. the firm analysed in students project work.
Discuss their findings in class.
Map the driving forces on blackboard - ...
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Monday, June 16th, 2008
Delphi Method
Delphi Method is a group decision process about the likelihood that certain events will occur. Today it is used for environmental, marketing and sales forecasting. The Delphi Method makes use of a panel of experts, selected based on the areas of expertise required. The notion is that well-informed individuals, ...
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Monday, June 16th, 2008
Peter Schwartz: Shell. The art of the long view. Currency Doubleday 1996
Scenario planning basics for distributors by Adam J. Fein, Pembroke Consulting
Spinning the Future by Joe Flower
Doing scenarios - scenarios can help predict the future by Art Kleiner
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